In a surprising move, Kamala Harris has chosen Tim Walz as her vice-presidential running mate for the 2024 presidential race. This selection has stirred considerable discussion among political analysts and the public alike. Most people never even heard of Walz. And Walz was not among the frequently mentioned potential candidates. However, this strategic choice could significantly bolster Harris’ campaign. Her choice provides unique advantages in terms of expanding and exciting her base. And most importantly, her choice increases her chances with winning the electoral college.

Who is Tim Walz?

Tim Walz, the current Governor of Minnesota, brings a wealth of experience and a diverse background to the Harris ticket. Born in 1964 in West Point, Nebraska, Walz served 24 years in the Army National Guard. He retired as a Command Sergeant Major. Before entering politics, he worked as a high school teacher and football coach. Tim Walz started his political career in 2006 by winning election to the U.S. House of Representatives for Minnesota’s 1st congressional district. His tenure in Congress was marked by a focus on veterans’ issues, agriculture, and healthcare. In 2018, he won the governorship of Minnesota, where he has been noted for his pragmatic approach and ability to work across party lines.

A Surprise Selection

Walz’s selection as Harris’ running mate has surprised many political observers. Prior to the announcement, speculation centered around more prominent figures such as Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, and Mark Kelly. Walz’s lower national profile made him a less obvious choice, but this element of surprise can play to Harris’ advantage. It signals a willingness to think outside the box. It also signals she was willing to forgo name recognition and lean on the strategic value of her decision.

Expanding and Exciting the Base

Walz’s selection helps Harris expand her appeal across different voter demographics. His Midwestern roots and military background resonate with working-class and rural voters, who may feel alienated by the Democratic Party’s perceived coastal elite dominance. Additionally, his experience as a teacher and advocate for public education strengthens Harris’ connection with educators and parents concerned about school funding and policies.

Moreover, Walz’s reputation as a moderate Democrat who can work with Republicans without compromising progressive values helps bridge the divide within the Democratic Party. By bringing Walz on board, Harris can appeal to both progressive and centrist voters, thus broadening her coalition and energizing a broader segment of the electorate.

No Need to Excite Minority Voters

Kamala Harris’ selection of Tim Walz does not need to excite Black, Latin, or other minority voters. Harris herself already energizes these key demographics. As the first Black and South Asian woman on a major party ticket, she has a unique connection with minority communities. Her policies and personal story resonate strongly with these voters, making her a compelling figure without needing additional support from her running mate.

Electoral College Considerations

In terms of the electoral college, Walz’s selection is a calculated move. Minnesota, while traditionally leaning Democratic, has shown signs of becoming a battleground state. In 2016, Hillary Clinton won Minnesota by a narrow margin, and Trump made significant inroads in the state. By selecting Walz, Harris aims to secure Minnesota’s 10 electoral votes and strengthen her position in the Upper Midwest, a region crucial to winning the presidency.

Furthermore, Walz’s Midwestern appeal could help in other key battleground states like Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. His presence on the ticket could sway undecided voters in these states who are crucial for electoral victory. Harris’ campaign can leverage Walz’s regional influence to mobilize voters and increase turnout in these pivotal areas.

Polls and Prospects

Early polling data suggests that Walz’s addition to the ticket has provided a modest boost to Harris’ campaign. According to a recent survey by FiveThirtyEight, Harris-Walz is currently polling at 48% nationwide, a 3% increase since the announcement. In Minnesota, the Harris-Walz ticket is polling 5% higher than before, indicating positive reception among local voters.

However, the ultimate question remains: Is this enough to win the race for the presidency? While Walz’s selection enhances Harris’ chances, the election will likely hinge on broader factors such as voter turnout, campaign strategy, and key issues resonating with the electorate. The Harris-Walz ticket needs to capitalize on this momentum by focusing on critical swing states, addressing pressing voter concerns, and maintaining a robust ground game.

Kamala Harris’ choice of Tim Walz as her vice-presidential running mate is a strategic and unexpected move that has the potential to reshape the dynamics of the 2024 presidential race. Walz’s background and appeal across diverse voter demographics can expand and energize Harris’ base, while his regional influence bolsters the campaign’s standing in crucial battleground states. Although the impact on the electoral college remains to be fully seen, early polling indicates a positive reception. As the campaign progresses, the Harris-Walz ticket will need to leverage this advantage to secure a path to the White House.